Posted by Walter
Texas Tech +3.5 @ Missourri
When there's a shootout expected always take the points. I don't exactly know who's going to win this game, but I do know each team should score 40 points. Mizzou doesn't have anyone who can cover Michael Crabtree, and they've got even less personnel to put pressure on Graham Harrell. Give me Tech winning outright 44-40 for $10.
Miami +6 @ Florida State
I wanted to I could basically just copy and paste the Tech-Mizzou analysis by simply changing the team names and the word "offense" to "defense." For the past 20 years these games are ALWAYS close, and there is no reason to think any different in 2007. I don't expect another "wide right" situation from Florida State, but I do expect a hard fought defensive struggle. Give me Miami covering fairly easily 13-17 for $15.
@ Kentucky +7 over Florida
The only justification for this number is that Florida is coming off a bye week and Kentucky is coming off a hard fought win over LSU. Florida is good, but they aren't that good. And they defnintely aren't equipped offensively to get into a shootout. Kentucky is the lone SEC team that can exploit the Gator secondary. The Wildcats pull another stunner and cover in the process, 38-35 for $15.
Oregon -11 @ Washington
The Ducks are flat out rolling right now, and with South Florida losing last night Oregon can almost smell the BCS top 2. The Huskies have been somewhat schizophrenic this year. They play well in some games, and terrible in others. Jack Locker is the real deal, but he isn't a polished enough passer to really take advantage of Oregon's weak secondary. No matter, all they have to do is slow them down as Dennis Dixon will put up plenty of points. Give me Oregon in a route 44-20 for $20.
Auburn +11.5 @ LSU
Auburn is not great on offense, and they may struggle (I say "may" because, heck, this LSU defense has looked pedestrian the past couple of games) but the Tiger defense is for real and there are even whispers that Auburn, not LSU, has the best defense in the SEC. Either way, these two defenses are way too good to give up many points, and let's not forget that Tommy Tubberville has an unreal 5-1 record against teams ranked in the top 5. Make it 6-1, as I'm taking Auburn in another shocker (and an easy cover) 17-14 for $40.
Last Week: 3-2
Cash on Hand: $100